Published Dec 06, 2023 by Ernesto Becerra
休斯顿(12月. 7, 2023) -大休斯顿合作伙伴关系预测休斯顿地区将在2024年看到就业增长, although at a slower pace, 比如利率, a tight labor market and turmoil in commercial real estate weigh on the economy.
In the Partnership’s forecast, the region is projected to add 57,600个工作岗位, returning to a more sustainable pace after record job growth post-pandemic. 截至2023年10月,休斯顿比疫情前增加了近20万个就业岗位.
“自疫情爆发以来,休斯顿地区一直在冲刺. So, while growth will slow down next year, Houston’s economy remains resilient,” Partnership Chief Economist Patrick Jankowski said.
According to the forecast, job losses in 2024 will occur in construction, finance and insurance, 信息, and real estate – industries impacted by higher interest rates, tighter lending standards and ongoing labor shortages.
There is a growing consensus among economists that the U.S. 在期待已久的经济衰退今年从未出现之后,明年能否避开经济衰退. 根据《皇冠HGA010官方下载》对商业和学术经济学家的最新季度调查, they placed the probability of a recession within the next year at 48 percent, the first time it was below 50 percent since 2022.
But there is concern that events beyond the U.S. Federal Reserve’s control, such us geopolitics, could still trigger a recession. 休斯顿的经济与全国经济直接相关,几乎肯定会跟随美国经济的发展.S. into any recession.
就业预测的各行业细分和影响每个行业的因素可在 完整的报告.